IGNORE THE NATIONAL POLLS

National polls mean diddly squat in a race that will be decided state by state.

You'ld be better off paying attention to Electoral Vote estimates which are based on state-by-state polling instead of a nationwide poll.

Several websites that provide estimates for Electoral Votes all give Obama the edge:

http://www.electoral-vote.com/
This is one of the best sites since they update their count with new state polls daily. They also track states gained by either party compared to the 2004 presidential election.
Obama 273
McCain 238
Ties 27

http://www.cnn.com/
Obama 243
McCain 289
Toss Ups 106

http://electoralmap.net/
This site's data is based on Intrade.Com's State-by-State prediction markets...which gives a completely different picture compared to Intrade's national Obama or McCain prediction market.
Obama 260
McCain 247
Ties 31

http://www.270towin.com/
Obama 239
McCain 177
Toss Ups 122

But there's a wildcard here even. Both campaigns are investing heavily in voter registration drives. The Obama campaign has been doing this since the primaries. Obama's voter registration drive dwarf's that of the republicans. Most new voters being registered are those of under 35--a key Obama demographic. That's something hard to track in polls. Most pollsters call existing registered voters or people who have voted in the last election. Newly registered voters probably aren't in their databases yet, and so are not polled.

Obama understand he needs to change the electorate to win this. And his massive army of volunteers and paid staff are doing precisely this. Will it work? We will find out in November. Personally I believe it will make a difference. If he can get the younger people to vote during the general election has he was able to do during the primaries, I think that gives him a good chance. Also if he can get a massive black vote out during the general election, just as he did during the primaries, that's another factor that will help as well in several states.

Make no mistake...this election is going to be fought between those who want to keep the status quo and those who want change. In some ways this will also be a generational battle...with older generations going for McCain, and the younger generations going for Obama. And sadly this is also a fight between the educated vs the uneducated, the informed vs the poorly informed, the smart people vs the sheeple who are easily swayed by talk show hosts and empty soundbites.

This is the PAST vs the FUTURE. For all our sakes, I believe, and sincerely hope the FUTURE wins!

OBAMA IS THE FUTURE.

MCCAIN IS MCBUSH AND MCBUSH IS THE PAST.

Barack Obama/Joe Biden!

Vote Obama 2008!